Skip to content

Commit d3cfe03

Browse files
Create PIM3-Calculator-Help.md
Signed-off-by: Prof. J Kirtania <hodanesthtmcvns@gmail.com>
1 parent 38c87e0 commit d3cfe03

1 file changed

Lines changed: 281 additions & 0 deletions

File tree

docs/PIM3-Calculator-Help.md

Lines changed: 281 additions & 0 deletions
Original file line numberDiff line numberDiff line change
@@ -0,0 +1,281 @@
1+
# 📘 MPM₀-III Calculator
2+
## Mortality Probability Admission Model (ICU)
3+
4+
---
5+
6+
# 🔷 ABOUT
7+
8+
## Overview
9+
**MPM₀-III Calculator** is a browser-based clinical tool for estimating **predicted hospital mortality at ICU admission** using the validated **Mortality Probability Model (MPM₀-III)** :contentReference[oaicite:0]{index=0}.
10+
11+
The model applies a **logistic regression equation** using:
12+
- Age (continuous variable)
13+
- Physiological variables
14+
- Acute and chronic diagnoses
15+
- Admission characteristics
16+
17+
to generate a **probability of in-hospital mortality**.
18+
19+
---
20+
21+
## Scientific Basis
22+
23+
Developed and validated from large ICU datasets:
24+
25+
- Higgins TL et al., *Critical Care Medicine*, 2007
26+
- Prospective validation: Higgins TL et al., 2009
27+
28+
Model performance:
29+
- AUROC ≈ 0.82
30+
- Good calibration (Hosmer–Lemeshow p > 0.05)
31+
- Standardized Mortality Ratio ~1.0
32+
33+
---
34+
35+
## Model Structure
36+
37+
### 1. Logistic Model
38+
The calculator computes:
39+
40+
\[
41+
P = \frac{1}{1 + e^{-logit}}
42+
\]
43+
44+
Where **logit** is derived from:
45+
- Constant
46+
- Age coefficient
47+
- Binary variables
48+
- Interaction terms (Age × selected variables)
49+
50+
---
51+
52+
### 2. Variables Included
53+
54+
#### Physiological
55+
- Coma / deep stupor
56+
- Heart rate ≥150 bpm
57+
- Systolic BP ≤90 mmHg
58+
59+
#### Chronic Conditions
60+
- Chronic kidney disease
61+
- Cirrhosis
62+
- Metastatic malignancy
63+
64+
#### Acute Diagnoses
65+
- Acute kidney injury (KDIGO-based)
66+
- Cardiac dysrhythmia
67+
- Cerebrovascular event
68+
- GI bleeding (protective)
69+
- Intracranial mass effect
70+
71+
#### ICU Admission Factors
72+
- CPR before admission
73+
- Mechanical ventilation
74+
- Medical / unscheduled surgery
75+
- Full code status (protective)
76+
77+
---
78+
79+
### 3. Special Terms
80+
81+
- **Zero Factor**
82+
- Automatically applied when no risk variables are present
83+
- Improves calibration in low-risk patients
84+
85+
- **Interaction Terms**
86+
- Age modifies effect of selected variables
87+
- Prevents overestimation in older patients
88+
89+
---
90+
91+
## Output
92+
93+
The calculator provides:
94+
95+
- **Predicted mortality (%)**
96+
- **Risk category**
97+
- Low
98+
- Moderate
99+
- High
100+
- **Logit value**
101+
- **Breakdown of contributing factors**
102+
103+
---
104+
105+
## Intended Use
106+
107+
- ICU admission risk stratification
108+
- Clinical audit and benchmarking
109+
- Teaching and training
110+
- Research data standardization
111+
112+
---
113+
114+
## Limitations
115+
116+
- Not a dynamic score (single time-point model)
117+
- Does not replace clinical judgment
118+
- Limited applicability in:
119+
- Cardiac surgery
120+
- Burns
121+
- Acute myocardial infarction cohorts
122+
- Pediatric patients
123+
124+
---
125+
126+
## License
127+
128+
GNU General Public License v3.0 (GPL-3.0)
129+
130+
© 2026
131+
Prof. Jyotirmay Kirtania
132+
MPMMCC & HBCH, Tata Memorial Centre, Varanasi
133+
134+
---
135+
136+
---
137+
138+
# 🛠️ HELP
139+
140+
## Getting Started
141+
142+
1. Open the `.html` file in a modern browser (Chrome/Edge recommended)
143+
2. Enter patient **age (mandatory)**
144+
3. Select applicable clinical variables
145+
4. View predicted mortality in real time
146+
147+
---
148+
149+
## 🧮 How to Use
150+
151+
### Step 1: Enter Age
152+
- Mandatory input
153+
- Range: ≥18 years
154+
155+
---
156+
157+
### Step 2: Select Variables
158+
159+
Tick only if criteria are **clearly met within 1 hour of ICU admission**
160+
161+
#### Key Principles
162+
- If uncertain → leave unchecked
163+
- Default assumption = normal
164+
165+
---
166+
167+
### Step 3: Review Output
168+
169+
Displayed results include:
170+
171+
- **Mortality probability (%)**
172+
- **Risk classification**
173+
- **Graphical probability bar**
174+
- **Logit breakdown**
175+
176+
---
177+
178+
## 📊 Interpretation
179+
180+
| Probability | Risk Category |
181+
|------------|--------------|
182+
| <10% | Low risk |
183+
| 10–25% | Moderate risk|
184+
| >25% | High risk |
185+
186+
---
187+
188+
## 🔍 Clinical Meaning
189+
190+
- Higher probability → increased risk of in-hospital mortality
191+
- Useful for:
192+
- Prognostication
193+
- ICU audit comparisons
194+
- Case-mix adjustment
195+
196+
---
197+
198+
## 📋 Special Features
199+
200+
### 1. Zero Factor
201+
- Automatically activated if no risk variables selected
202+
- Represents baseline low-risk population
203+
204+
---
205+
206+
### 2. Interaction Effects
207+
- Age modifies impact of:
208+
- Coma
209+
- Hypotension
210+
- Cirrhosis
211+
- Metastatic cancer
212+
- Dysrhythmia
213+
- Intracranial pathology
214+
- CPR
215+
216+
---
217+
218+
### 3. Copy Results
219+
- Click **“Copy results text”**
220+
- Generates structured output:
221+
- Mortality %
222+
- Age
223+
- Selected variables
224+
225+
---
226+
227+
### 4. Worked Example Validation
228+
- Built-in reference example from original publication
229+
- Ensures computational accuracy
230+
231+
---
232+
233+
## ⚠️ Important Notes
234+
235+
- Model applies **only at ICU admission**
236+
- Do NOT use for:
237+
- Daily reassessment
238+
- Treatment decisions in isolation
239+
240+
---
241+
242+
## 🧠 Best Practice
243+
244+
Use alongside:
245+
- Clinical judgment
246+
- Hemodynamic assessment
247+
- Organ dysfunction scores (SOFA/APACHE)
248+
249+
---
250+
251+
## ❌ Common Errors
252+
253+
- Over-selecting variables without strict criteria
254+
- Using outdated clinical data
255+
- Applying to ineligible populations
256+
- Interpreting probability as certainty
257+
258+
---
259+
260+
## 📄 Disclaimer
261+
262+
This tool is intended for:
263+
264+
- Clinical audit
265+
- Educational use
266+
- Research purposes
267+
268+
It does **not replace**:
269+
- Clinical judgment
270+
- Institutional protocols
271+
- Specialist consultation
272+
273+
---
274+
275+
## 📚 References
276+
277+
- Higgins TL et al. Crit Care Med. 2007
278+
- Higgins TL et al. Crit Care Med. 2009
279+
- KDIGO Clinical Practice Guideline for AKI, 2012
280+
281+
---

0 commit comments

Comments
 (0)